ARM Update

September 10, 2018



Adjustable-rate mortgage flows have been flat to start the month as the focus remains on the fixed-rate origination cycle despite yields moving higher.  Dollar prices on newer issue ARMs remain attractive, with most new issue 10/1s trading between 100 and 101 (compared to 103 and 104 in 2016 and 2017).  With mortgage rates being stable for months now, the low dollar price on new production indicates that primary/secondary spreads have moved tighter in the agency ARMs market this year.

Last week, ARM activity was primarily focused on the following:

The following chart reflects the week over week change in LIBOR option-adjusted spreads for ARMs. GNMA ARM OAS’s tightened, while FNMA and FHLMC OAS’s widened.





ARM prepayments increased for all Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and Ginnie Mae products except LIBOR-indexed 3/1s, which were off slightly.  Issuance decreased very slightly for Freddie Mac and increased for Fannie Mae and Ginnie Mae.  Issuance activity was primarily focused on 5/1s and 7/1s.








Ricky Brillard, CPA

Strategist

Vining Sparks, IBG

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