Sector Update | ![]() |
January 31, 2022
A few points to start your week
- Yields soared mid-week after FOMC meeting but turned lower and curve flatter to finish the week
- Munis struggle to start the year, creates opportunities for those with investible funds (more info below)
- Check out this morning’s Market Today for a quick recap of last week
- Mark your calendars for upcoming webinars, next scheduled is February 22nd (schedule below)
- MBS activity strongest in 20- and 30-year, discount coupons most popular last week
- Municipal bond funds posted outflows for second week in a row
Individual Sector Updates – Click to Access
Agency Market | Agency MBS | Agency ARM | Agency CMO | Municipal Market | SBA Market | Interest Rate Products
Today – Yields slightly higher, equities rebounding
Recently, municipal yields rise, and spreads widened
Broad Index returns have suffered as yields have increased and spreads widened
Equities off to a tough, and volatile, start to the year
Upcoming Webinars – (1 hour CPE available, registration opens 2 weeks prior to each webinar)
1/11: 1st Quarter Economic Outlook Webinar (slides | webinar replay)
2/22 Bank: Positioning the Investment Portfolio for Performance
2/24 Credit Union: Positioning the Investment Portfolio for Performance
3/8 Bank: Balance Sheet Strategies in an Expected Tightening Cycle
3/10 Credit Union: Balance Sheet Strategies in an Expected Tightening Cycle
Yield on 10- and 5-year maturities remain close to pre-pandemic levels
Yield on 3- and 2-year maturities still lag pre-pandemic levels, made up ground last week
Curve Shape – 2s5s moves flatter, still 8 bps flatter YTD
Curve Shape – 2s10s moves flatter, still 17 bps flatter YTD
What We’re Reading
Market Today | Daily
Weekly Recap | Weekly, Friday
Monthly Review (December) | Monthly, 1st business day
Brokered Deposit Rate Indications | Weekly, Monday
Investment Alternatives Matrix | Weekly, Tuesday
MBS Prepay Commentary (January) | Monthly, 5th business day
SBA Prepay Commentary (January) | Monthly, 10th business day
WSJ: Investors Sour on Muni Funds
“On Tuesday, the amount of debt sold by investors to bond dealers exceeded the amount investors bought by more than $1 billion, according to Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board data, a rarity in the high-demand, low-supply muni market. The last time that happened was September 2020.”
Vining Sparks: Loan Trading: Consumer Lending
It is important to stay abreast of market changes in rates and potential credit concerns that may be creeping in that could impact production and performance. We welcome the opportunity to assist you in evaluating your portfolio for areas of opportunity or provide additional color on this dynamic market.
Vining Sparks Interest Rate Products: Margin Compression: Causes and Solutions
In this article, we examine why the industry is facing margin compression, challenge some of the more prevalent assumptions about banks’ risks profiles and highlight our best ideas for dealing with the current environment.
Vining Sparks: Coronavirus Chartbook and Coronavirus State Charts